Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 11.1% clip, Deandre Ayton's 3-point ability has surged this season to 22.6%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 29.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
When guarding opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 87th percentile with a massive 2.9 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Deandre Ayton has converted a mere 59.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 78.3 mark last year.
The faceoff with Brook Lopez as it relates to getting to the free-throw line comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 1.9 free throws per game this year.
Deandre Ayton figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.

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