Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 11.1% mark, Deandre Ayton's three-point prowess has increased this season to 24.0%.
Deandre Ayton has played 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league while playing on the road with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Deandre Ayton has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.
The matchup vs. Jaxson Hayes is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when Hayes is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.4 free throws per game (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 101.7 points per game when playing on the road ranks fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Jaxson Hayes is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have made a lowly 0.2 3-point shots per game (3rd percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Deandre Ayton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.