Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has converted 6.4 baskets per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 30.4 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for field goal attempts; when Gafford is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on their home court this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's poor 107.6 points per game settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
Relative to last year's 78.3% mark, Deandre Ayton's foul-shot efficiency has diminished this year to 58.3%.

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