Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 62.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 30.3 minutes per game this year.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Walker Kessler has been very high (3.2 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Jazz have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.
With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.1 points per game ranks 4th-fewest in the league this year.
The 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton registers in the 9th percentile for foul-shot performance with a weak 53.7% rate this year.
The matchup with Walker Kessler in regard to getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting just 2.1 foul shots per game this year.

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