Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has converted a whopping 25.6% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 11.1 rate last year.
Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.5 minutes per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 101.1 points per game while playing on the road comes in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a tough one for scoring; when Lively II is at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a mere 5.2 field goals per game (10th percentile).
The Trail Blazers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
Deandre Ayton is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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