Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton measures in the 84th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an outstanding 41.7% rate this year.
The faceoff with Myles Turner places in only the 89th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 64.0% of their shot attempts from the field this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Trail Blazers's poor 101.5 points per game while on the road places 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
Deandre Ayton has converted a mere 50.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 78.3 mark last season.
Deandre Ayton stands to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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