Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home.
Deandre Ayton has played 32.2 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has averaged a mere 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.9 fouls per game last year.
The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton has sunk 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 97.8 points per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The clash with Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 7th percentile with rival starting Cs draining just 20.9% of their treys this year when they are playing at home.
The 6th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The faceoff with Jonas Valanciunas in terms of drawing fouls registers in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 3.1 free throws per game this year when they are at home.