Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has converted 11.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's converted overall this season.
Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton has made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% more than he's converted in all games this year while on his home court.
Deandre Ayton should see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 107.7 points per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against Ivica Zubac is a difficult one for scoring; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 50.0% of their field goals (3rd percentile).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league while playing at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).

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