Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has converted 11.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's made overall this season.
Relative to last season's 26.1% mark, Deandre Ayton's three-point ability has risen this season to 50.0%.
Deandre Ayton has played 31.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a hard one for threes; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted just 27.1% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (10th percentile).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Deandre Ayton figures to see a decline in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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