Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 11.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.7 higher than he's made in all games this season while on his home court.
Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.
Deandre Ayton has been called for a lowly 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.9 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Hartenstein is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 47.1% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out best in in the league on their home court with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has made a mere 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 26.1 mark last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup with Isaiah Hartenstein with respect to getting to the charity stripe measures in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.9 free throws per game this year when they are at home.