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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has successfully made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the year.
  • Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
  • Deandre Ayton has accumulated a measly 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 10 games (34.6%).
  • The number of shots from the field against Nikola Jokic has been very high (11.4 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
  • The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been very low this year (3.3 free throw attempts per game: 7th percentile).

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