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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has converted 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's made in all games this season.
  • Deandre Ayton has tallied 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for field goals; opposing squads have put up the 9th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.8%).
  • The number of threes sunk against Nikola Jokic has been very high (0.9 per game) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
  • The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The showdown with Nikola Jokic as it relates to getting to the charity stripe registers in the 13th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.3 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

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