Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage.
Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year.
When defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez has been in the 100th percentile with a colossal 12.1 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.
The Trail Blazers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 108.3 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (2.6 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

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