Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton places in the 83rd percentile for field goal proficiency with a a superb 53.9% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
The number of field goals drained against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (6.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 6th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, averaging 0.0 per game this year.
Deandre Ayton has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
The Spurs have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when Wembanyama is at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.1 free throws per game (23rd percentile).