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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have shot 57.5% on 3-pointers (28th-best in the league) vs. the Lakers, resulting in a positive matchup.

The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Deandre Ayton will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 7.6 clip, Deandre Ayton's field goals scored have declined this season to 5.7 per game.

Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league at home this year.

On the road, the Lakers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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