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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Denver is a positive one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.6%).

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 84.6% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 9.1% more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.

Deandre Ayton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deandre Ayton has made just 58.6% of his field goals this season, a sizeable decrease from his 64.4 mark last season.

Deandre Ayton has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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