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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 58.9% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.6%).

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.3% more than he's made in all games this year on his home court.

Deandre Ayton will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deandre Ayton has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Suns.

Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 21.9 foul shots per game.

More Deandre Ayton Player Props

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