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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has sunk 7.7 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
  • The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Deandre Ayton has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Deandre Ayton has made 0.0% of his treys over the last 15 games, -26.1% lower than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
  • The matchup against Denver is a hard one for field goals; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (4.5).
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.
  • The Nuggets have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line on the road: 5th-worst in the league this year, drawing just 21.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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