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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has converted 7.5 buckets per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one; when the Clippers are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (16.1).
  • The Phoenix Suns check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Deandre Ayton has successfully made 85.1% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 9.6% more than he's made overall this season while on his home court.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game this year when the Clippers are away from home (28th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Deandre Ayton has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
  • The Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls: 7th-worst in the league this year with a lowly 22.1 foul shots per game.

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