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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has made 81.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Deandre Ayton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deandre Ayton has sunk just 58.8% of his field goals this season, significantly less than his 64.4 mark last season.

Deandre Ayton has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 12th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (55.6%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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