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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Denver is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.2%).

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Deandre Ayton will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deandre Ayton has successfully made just 58.9% of his field goals this year, significantly less than his 64.4 rate last year.

Deandre Ayton has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.

Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.6 free throws per game.

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