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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deandre Ayton has made 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home.

Deandre Ayton has attempted 2.8 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the other team have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deandre Ayton has attempted 0.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Deandre Ayton has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.

The Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games away from home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Phoenix Suns have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.

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