Deandre Ayton Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year without the home court advantage (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league this year.
Deandre Ayton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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