De'Aaron Fox Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has put up 5.8 defensive boards per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
De'Aaron Fox will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Nets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 5thworst in in the league playing at home with just 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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