De'Aaron Fox Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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