De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 4, 2026

Updated Apr 4, 2026 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-213/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -194 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -213.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 23.5 rate, De'Aaron Fox's points per game have decreased this season to 17.8.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.
As a team, the Spurs have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: 10th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games with a mere 22.0 free throws per game.

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