De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 1, 2026

Updated Apr 2, 2026 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%).
The 9th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.2 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has posted a lowly 17.9 points per game this season, significantly lower than his 23.5 points per game last season.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Warriors).

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