De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 28, 2026

Updated Mar 28, 2026 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-175/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -191 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.6 free throws per game this year when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has averaged a measly 18.1 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 23.5 points per game last year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 34.8% rate of drained threes without the home court advantage ranks 10th-lowest in the league this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Spurs.

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