De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 12, 2026

Updated Mar 13, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 8 games.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).

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