De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Mar 8, 2026

Updated Mar 8, 2026 11:33 PM UTC

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has registered 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games while on his home court, 3.8 higher than he's registered over the course of the season at home.
In regard to scoring, the Spurs's remarkable 127.0 points per game on their home court places best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Houston is a positive one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 9th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.5%).
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.2 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are on the road (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Spurs will likely see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Rockets).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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