De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2026

Updated Feb 26, 2026 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 23.5 rate, De'Aaron Fox's points per game have dropped this year to 18.1.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a hard one; they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
The Raptors have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to draw fouls.

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