De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 21, 2026

Updated Feb 22, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has logged 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games while at home, 4.3 higher than he's logged over the course of the season at home.
The Spurs rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have notched 15.2 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should reduce opportunities for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 9thworst in in the league with just 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are on the road (8th-least in the NBA).

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