De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 12, 2026 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-103/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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