De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 7, 2026

Updated Feb 8, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's excellent 117.8 points per game as the home team settles in as the 8th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 23.5 clip, De'Aaron Fox's points per game have tailed off this year to 19.5.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 9thworst in in the league as the home team with only 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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