De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 5, 2026

Updated Feb 6, 2026 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 23.5 clip, De'Aaron Fox's points per game have fallen this season to 19.6.
In regard to shots from downtown, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 31.3% rate of sunk threes rates fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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