De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+115/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 4th-best in the league as the away team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to threes, the Spurs's lackluster 31.0% rate of made threes settles in as the weakest in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a tough matchup.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

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