De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 29, 2025 4:09 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 4th-best in the league while playing on the road with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Denver may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of shots from downtown, the Spurs's unimpressive 10.7 sunk threes per game as the away team ranks 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a hard matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

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