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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
  • The Spurs check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup.
  • The matchup vs. Max Christie is a good one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 45.4% of their field goals (76th percentile).
  • The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted a measly 18.7 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 21.1 rate last year.
  • Relative to last season's 8.0 mark, De'Aaron Fox's three-point attempts have declined this season to 6.1 per game.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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