De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's exceptional 120.8 points per game comes in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 21.1 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots have regressed this year to 18.9 per game.
De'Aaron Fox has attempted a lowly 6.2 treys per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 rate last year.
Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have tallied the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

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