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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

The Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The matchup against the Kings is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has attempted a lowly 18.9 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 21.1 rate last year.

De'Aaron Fox has attempted a mere 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.0 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.7 fouls per game on the road this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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