De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
With respect to offense, the San Antonio Spurs's remarkable 121.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Nets is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The matchup vs. Cam Thomas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when matched up against opposing starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a massive 38.4% of their 3-point attempts (87th percentile).
The 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has attempted a lowly 19.0 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 21.1 rate last season.
De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Nets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 5thworst in in the league playing at home with just 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 0.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.