De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
De'Aaron Fox has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has attempted just 19.0 shots from the field per game this season, significantly lower than his 21.1 rate last season.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (weakest in the league) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.