De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2025

Updated Feb 26, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 97th percentile for field goal attempts when playing away from home, averaging 19.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.7 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has attempted just 6.2 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 8.0 rate last year.
The Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Pelicans are playing at home (least in the NBA).
De'Aaron Fox stands to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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