De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has notched 24.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 9th-best in in the NBA while at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 8.0 mark, De'Aaron Fox's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 6.1 per game.
De'Aaron Fox has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.5 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, making this a tough matchup.
The Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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