De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 19.4 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
De'Aaron Fox has tallied 36.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
In terms of shooting, the Spurs's superb 118.1 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 2.9 mark, De'Aaron Fox's three-point shots hit have fallen this year to 2.0 per game.
The matchup vs. Sam Hauser is a difficult one for shots from downtown; when Hauser is at home and squaring off against other starting SGs this year, they have converted a mere 31.3% of their shots from downtown (15th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (least in the league).