De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 98th percentile for shots taken, logging 19.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).
The Kings rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance across the board.

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