De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 17, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.9 shots per game this year, significantly more than his 18.7 rate last year.
De'Aaron Fox has attempted 9.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.9 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have notched 24.4 points per game (most in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

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