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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 99th percentile for shots while at home, totaling 20.2 per game this year.
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.4 rate last year.
  • De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
  • The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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