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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's field goal attempts have increased this year to 20.7 per game.

De'Aaron Fox has played 35.3 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.4 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.

As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, totaling a measly 18.2 foul shot attempts per game.

De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

More De'Aaron Fox Player Props

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