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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 21.5 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 18.7 rate last year.

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.1 three-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.4 rate last season.

De'Aaron Fox has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8thbest in in the league while at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (88th percentile).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (39.8%).

The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

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